Technical & Fundamental Oil Reports Specialists

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Fundamental Summaries

July 15th, 2016

Gasoline hangover

The world is in the midst of a gasoline glut. US inventories are at seasonally high levels and a surge in Chinese refining activity has triggered an unprecedented oversupply across…

July 14th, 2016

It’s products and not crude that is bearish

Looking at the latest supply/demand forecast from the IEA one has the impression that the agency is the most bullish of the three. First of all, the IEA, just like…

July 14th, 2016

Watch the 5 and 8s. Long-term support holding.

Introduction.  Yesterday provided us with a text book demonstration of the power and relevance of the short term MAs. The recovery, on Tuesday, from assorted support compromising of long term…

July 13th, 2016

As oil prices are on the rise so is OPEC output

Yesterday we were provided with the first glimpse of where OPEC sees the 2017 oil supply/demand balance and in a nutshell they are quite bullish. They see a more than…

July 12th, 2016

New PM May keeps uncertainty at bay

The post-Brexit uncertainty that has stifled UK politics eased significantly yesterday after it emerged that Theresa May was set to be installed as the country’s second woman Prime Minister. This…

Technical Analysis

July 15th, 2016

Recovery potential whilst RBOB is above the 5 and 8 day MAs.

Introduction.  The contracts are very well supported, for the most part, by the 100 and 200 day MAs, and the odd c/p. The crudes for example held the 100 day…

July 13th, 2016

Watch the 8 and 13 day MAs. They hold the clues.

Introduction.  RBOB’s wavering stochastics, and the fact that four out of the five contracts had held their 100 or 200 day MAs were the clues yesterday that a correction was…

July 12th, 2016

Key support held. Watch the 5s on Heat and RBOB.

Introduction. Although the trend is down the contracts are holding key supports and, for the moment, there are no targets lower. This remains the case whilst the strong support holds….

July 11th, 2016

Holding key support. Sell rallies to the 5s.

Introduction. The market has to a large extent held support. The hand-holds are tenuous and the contracts are vulnerable. WTI hit and held the target to 44.88. The rest closed…

July 8th, 2016

PVM Technical Report 08 July 2016

Introduction. The contracts all failed at the short term (s/t) MA resistances. Both crudes moved over the 5 and 8 day MAs and then fell apart at the 13s –…